Climate-Conflict Nexus in Afghanistan (sipri.org)

• Climate change acts as a threat multiplier for domestic instability.
• Water scarcity is driving displacement and local power struggles.
• Strategic recommendation for integrated climate-security interventions.

"The 2026 assessment highlights the dangerous convergence of political instability and extreme climate events in Afghanistan. Deteriorating water security and land degradation are exacerbating food insecurity, which in turn fuels localized conflict and humanitarian instability. The report advocates for a strategy where climate adaptation is treated as a foundational element of regional security policy rather than an auxiliary issue."