HCSS Study: Climate Change as a Determinant of Global Security and Power Relations by 2100 (hcss.nl)

• HCSS study analyzes climate change as a key driver of global power shifts through 2100.
• Adaptive capacity is the critical factor for winners and losers in future geopolitics.
• Authors urge immediate strategic prioritization of climate adaptation.

"Climate change will become the decisive factor in global power dynamics, security, and economic stability through 2100. A new HCSS study by Thijs van Aken and Laura Birkman analyzes how climate impacts intertwine with geopolitical, economic, and societal trends. The paper emphasizes that adaptive capacity determines who wins and who loses, and that rapid, coordinated action is unavoidable. The authors warn that climate change determines not only the environment but also the balance of power in the 21st century, urging policymakers to treat climate adaptation as a strategic priority."