Nuclear brinkmanship usually works. It's also dangerous (natesilver.net)

• Brinkmanship efficacy is declining as a stability tool.
• Increased risk of failure through human or technical error.
• Erosion of arms control frameworks threatens global security.

"This analysis examines the utility and the inherent dangers of nuclear brinkmanship in contemporary geopolitics. While brinkmanship aims to force opponents to concede through the threat of catastrophic force, the report warns that the erosion of established arms control mechanisms is destabilizing. The unpredictability introduced by human error and the potential integration of automated decision-making systems heighten the risk of accidental escalation, necessitating a re-evaluation of current deterrence models in the interest of European and global security."