The Erosion of Nuclear Deterrence Architecture (legrandcontinent.eu)

• Collapse of Cold War-era communication and arms control frameworks.
• The dangerous fallacy of 'tactical' low-yield nuclear weapons.
• Shift from bilateral stability to complex trilateral power dynamics.

"Historian David Holloway examines the breakdown of Cold War mechanisms for nuclear stability. He argues that current geopolitical tensions, combined with the lack of direct dialogue between nuclear powers and the emergence of a trilateral US-Russia-China dynamic, have erased the 'clear thresholds' that previously prevented nuclear conflict. The false distinction between tactical and strategic weapons is dangerously lowering the nuclear bar, making accidental escalation more likely. As non-proliferation agreements fracture, the global order is entering a phase of high instability where calculated rational deterrence is being replaced by erratic threats and potential miscalculation."