How Much Longer Can Russia Last in the War? (warontherocks.com)

• Russia's demographic and economic scale still provides a war-sustaining advantage.
• Ukrainian defense innovations partially offset the size disparity.
• Sanctions and internal fatigue may yet constrain Russia's endurance.

"Collin Meisel and Mathew Burrows revisit their 2025 assessment of Russia's ability to sustain war in Ukraine. Despite Ukrainian innovation and attrition, Russia's sheer size in population, economy, and munitions production allows it to absorb losses. New factors include sanctions impact and potential internal exhaustion."