Anthropic Co-Founder Predicts 60%+ Chance of Automated AI R&D by 2029 (importai.substack.com)

• Jack Clark gives >60% chance of automated AI R&D by 2029.
• Automation of AI research could accelerate progress significantly.
• Clark calls for increased focus on AI safety and governance.

"Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic, forecasts a greater than 60% probability that AI systems will be capable of automating AI research and development by 2029. He bases this on rapid advancements in current AI capabilities and the pace of scaling. Clark emphasizes that such automation could dramatically accelerate AI progress, posing both opportunities and risks for safety. The prediction aligns with other industry experts' timelines, highlighting the need for robust AI governance."