Hungary Parliamentary Elections: Systemic Factors and Polling Volatility (osw.waw.pl)

• Opposition TISZA party maintains a consistent lead in polling.
• Incumbent Fidesz benefits from institutional electoral advantages.
• Single-member constituency design serves as a key hurdle for opposition.

"The parliamentary elections in Hungary remain highly contested. While the opposition TISZA party shows a significant lead in the polls, the outcome is far from certain due to structural features of the electoral system that favor the incumbent Fidesz party. These include gerrymandered single-member constituencies and high tactical mobilization potential in the final stages of the campaign."