US and China: Strategic Stability or Taiwan Crisis Risk? (warontherocks.com)

• Rising crisis probability over Taiwan
• US depletion of precision munitions in Iran but successful defense penetration
• Beijing likely sticks to long-term peaceful unification strategy

"Michael Swaine reassesses US-China strategic stability after the Iran conflict and recent Trump-Xi talks. He identifies a rising risk of a Taiwan crisis but no shift in Beijing's long-term peaceful reunification strategy. US military actions in Iran depleted precision munitions but demonstrated capability to counter missile defenses."