Ukrainian Analyst Outlines Four Russian Scenarios, NATO Escalation Most Likely (warontherocks.com)

• Four Russian scenarios analyzed: truce, frozen frontline, mobilization, NATO attack
• Analyst Valeriy Pekar considers NATO escalation most likely
• Possible Russian goals: sidelining EU, lifting sanctions, collapsing Ukraine support

"In an edition of the Ukraine Compass, Ukrainian analyst Valeriy Pekar warns of a possible Russian attack on NATO states. He outlines four scenarios (truce, frozen frontline, mobilization, NATO attack) and considers escalation against NATO as Putin's most characteristic move to sideline the EU and collapse support for Ukraine."