UN projects 75% chance of exceeding 1.5°C warming threshold in next five years (pbs.org)

• 75% chance 2026-2030 average exceeds 1.5°C threshold
• 91% chance at least one year exceeds threshold
• Arctic warming 3.5 times faster than global average
• Amazon drying, increased wildfire risk

"The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) projects a 75% probability that global average temperature between 2026 and 2030 will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The Arctic is warming 3.5 times faster than the global average, and the Amazon is expected to become drier, increasing wildfire risk. The forecast is based on 200 simulations using 13 climate models."